Safety-Aware Optimal Control of Stochastic Systems Using Conditional Value-at-Risk
نویسندگان
چکیده
In this paper, we consider a multi-objective control problem for stochastic systems that seeks to minimize a cost of interest while ensuring safety. We introduce a novel measure of safety risk using the conditional value-at-risk and a set distance to formulate a safety risk-constrained optimal control problem. Our reformulation method using an extremal representation of the safety risk measure provides a computationally tractable dynamic programming solution. A useful byproduct of the proposed solution is the notion of a risk-constrained safe set, which is a new stochastic safety verification tool. We also establish useful connections between the risk-constrained safe sets and the popular probabilistic safe sets. The tradeoff between the risk tolerance and the mean performance of our controller is examined through an inventory control problem.
منابع مشابه
Stochastic Optimal Operation and Risk Analysis for Integrated Power and Gas Systems
The increment integration of renewable distributed energies means the desired operation of the electric power system will significantly depend on the performance of primary energy. In this order, an integrated approach for mutual interaction between the electricity and natural gas systems has been considered for the purpose of ensuring optimal energy exchanging between the electric power system...
متن کاملOptimal Portfolio Selection for Tehran Stock Exchange Using Conditional, Partitioned and Worst-case Value at Risk Measures
This paper presents an optimal portfolio selection approach based on value at risk (VaR), conditional value at risk (CVaR), worst-case value at risk (WVaR) and partitioned value at risk (PVaR) measures as well as calculating these risk measures. Mathematical solution methods for solving these optimization problems are inadequate and very complex for a portfolio with high number of assets. For t...
متن کاملPresenting a model for Multiple-step-ahead-Forecasting of volatility and Conditional Value at Risk in fossil energy markets
Fossil energy markets have always been known as strategic and important markets. They have a significant impact on the macro economy and financial markets of the world. The nature of these markets are accompanied by sudden shocks and volatility in the prices. Therefore, they must be controlled and forecasted by using appropriate tools. This paper adopts the Generalized Auto Regressive Condition...
متن کاملApplying a CVaR Measure for a Stochastic Competitive Closed-Loop Supply Chain Network under Disruption
This paper addresses a closed-loop supply chain network design problem, in which two different supply chains compete on retail prices by defining a price-dependent demand function. So, the model is formulated in a bi-level stochastic form to demonstrate the Stackelberg competition and associated uncertainties more precisely. Moreover, it is capable of considering random disruptions in the leade...
متن کاملCoordination of green supply chain network, considering uncertain demand and stochastic CO2 emission level
Many supply chain problems involve optimization of various conflicting objectives. This paper formulates a green supply chain network throughout a two-stage mixed integer linear problem with uncertain demand and stochastic environmental respects level. The first objective function of the proposed model considers minimization of supply chain costs while the second objective function minimizes CO...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- CoRR
دوره abs/1802.07903 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2017